FIGS is a leading and
rapidly emerging healthcare DTC apparel company.
The company sees incredible
traction, loyalty, momentum, and potential here.
I like the business a lot, as only the
valuation argument is what makes me cautious here.
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FIGS (NYSE:Planetsuzy lucie cline) has
gone public and I am attracted to the strong and good story behind
the company. The direct-to-consumer (DTC) apparel platform for the
healthcare sector has seen incredible performance, as literally all
the boxes are ticked in this offering, if not for the fact that other investors have recognized
this as well.
After investors have aggressively
bid up the share price since the offering, I am a bit cautious,
only on the back of the valuation argument as the business is
absolutely on fire.
The title of this paragraph is the
mission of FIGS which has grown to become the largest healthcare
apparel DTC platform. The company has a huge net promoter score of
81 and serves some 1.5 million customers.
The company celebrates, empowers
and serves healthcare professionals with comfortable, durable,
functional and stylish workwear at affordable prices. It has seen
an explosion in its business in recent years, having grown from a
mere $17 million in sales in 2017 to a $263 million revenue number
last year, indicating spectacular growth. Moreover, almost but all
sales are generated through the own DTC platform.
Convenience offered to customers is
ever more important as healthcare professionals are strained in
terms of time and resources, and that has been the case even before
the impact of Covid-19. Furthermore, attraction to purpose-driven
brands and better and more comfortable apparel made that the
business has seen great traction in recent times. Clothes are made
with a purpose for this industry including specific features such
as stretch, anti-odor, anti-wrinkle, and moisture-wicking
apparel.
The company, started in 2013, is
led by the two co-founders who have built it up
together as well. Following an initial stage of building the
business, commercial traction has been very strong over the past
years.
Management and underwriters aimed
to sell a combined 22.5 million shares in a range between $16 and
$19 per share, with final Ivana vladislava instagram set at $22 per share.
Selling shareholders sold the vast majority, some 16.6 million
shares, as the company itself sold 5.9 million shares. The gross
proceeds benefiting the company come in around $130 million.
With a total of 161.4 million
shares outstanding, the company has been awarded a $3.55 billion
equity valuation. If we factor in a net cash position of around
$150 million, the enterprise valuation of the firm comes in around
$3.4 billion.
The company has seen spectacular
growth in recent years, accompanied by real operating leverage.
Revenues rose 102% to $110 million in 2019 as an operating loss of
$13 million in 2018 turned into a break-even result that year.
Revenues more than doubled again, and in fact rose 138% to $263
million last year, undoubtedly driven by a positive Covid-19
impact. Operating profits have seen phenomenal operating leverage,
having jumped to $58 million, for very fat margins of 22%. At these
margins, the question can be asked if the company should not lower
prices to really help its customer base.
Based on the 2020 performance, the
company trades at 13 times reported revenues that year and 58 times
operating earnings, resulting in a sky-high multiple. Moreover,
operating momentum has been continuously very strong. Revenues for
the first quarter of this year rose 170% to $87 million, for a $350
million run rate already, which results in a compressed revenue
multiple of 10 times. Operating profits quadrupled to $16 million
as an annualized number works down to $64 million, or 53 times
operating earnings multiple.
These are no cheap multiples, but
the rapid pace of growth is clearly very impressive as there is
much to like about the company. However, investors have been
aggressively pricing in the future anticipated benefits as shares
have risen to $34 at the moment. This move has added nearly $2
billion to the enterprise value versus the offer price, boosting
the operating asset valuation to $5.4 billion. If we compare this
valuation to the current annualized numbers, we see a valuation at
15 times annualized sales and more than 80 times operating
earnings!
Do not get me wrong, this business
is a real winner and ticks pretty much all the boxes out there. The
flip side and risk are obviously related to the (high) valuation.
Given the rapid growth of the business, there are some operational
risks as well relating to reliance on key staff, a single
distribution center, and reliance on sourcing from China, among
others.
Competition is another key risk,
yet the DTC model, the loyalty by all stakeholders, and the
potential are certainly there. Growth is so strong as it feels
almost a hype, yet on the other hand the testimonials are good.
I have been quite astonished by the
demand and I like the business a great deal. That being said, it
feels as if the current momentum has been pulled forward perhaps a
bit too much at 15 times annualized sales, although operating
momentum is undeniably very strong. On the other hand, the
potential market and traction are so good that I do not rule out
that further gains could be seen by long-term holders from current
levels, yet I see no compelling risk-reward to buy the shares
now.
Nonetheless, the momentum is
interesting enough to keep a close eye on the shares from here,
certainly if growth can continue and shares perhaps might see a dip
down the road.
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opinions and information, but does not contain recommendations or
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particular purpose. Do your own research or obtain suitable
personal advice.
Disclosure:I/we have no
positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any
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